Last week I led off the column by taking the to cover at home against the and they came through for us, leading to another 2-1 week and a 4-2 record on the season. This week we're going to stay on the Falcons bandwagon as they welcome another division opponent to Atlanta. Atlanta Falcons (-3) vs. More Best Bets If you'd like some trends to support this pick, I have a couple for you. First, the Falcons are 5- Chase Headley Jersey 1 ATS in their last six home games and beat the Saints the previous two times they've met in Atlanta. Also, the Johnny Manziel Jersey home team has gone 9-4 ATS in this series in the last 13 meetings. But that's not what's leading to this pick. More than anything, I don't think the Saints are very good. They gave up 48 points at home to Tampa Bay in their season opener, and last week needed the to mi s two field goals and two extra points to avoid losing their second straight at home. If New Orleans has played that poorly at home, how can I trust them on the road here? (-6.5) at Had this spread been seven points or more I wouldn't be as comfortable with this pick as I am, but at Tony Gwynn Jersey 6.5 points you have to take the Pats. Betting on has always been a profitable strategy, particularly as a road favorite. Since the start of the 2016 season, the Patriots have been favored by four points or more on the road 11 times. They've gone 8-3 ATS in those games. The fact that Detroit is coached by a former Belichick a sistant in Matt Patricia only makes me more confident as the Patriots know exactly what's coming their way. (+3) at Carolina Panthers It's early in the season, but to this point, the Bengals have been one of the most efficient offenses in the . Their 0.567 points per play ranks Allen Craig Jersey behind only Kansas City and Tampa Bay, and though not having is a concern, has proven to be a valuable weapon when forced to carry the load at running back. I'm expecting a po sible shootout here, and I think the Bengals offense will be up to the task of covering this spread. Bonus Pick vs. : The Seahawks are 0-2 and playing at home for the first time this season. Seattle is a 1.5-point favorite over the Cowboys and the total Dave Winfield Jersey is set at 41.5 points. If you'd like to see my pick for this game . Last Week 2-1 Overall 4-2